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Oil Got Low Low Low Low….

Posted on July 30, 2017

WTI Oil prices breached $30/bbl on the downside in February’16 when OPEC declined to cut production despite a slide in prices seen earlier. Saudi Arabia’s Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi who uttered phrases such as, “whether it goes down to $20, $40, $50, $60, it is irrelevant,” certainly did not help the market back then either. Doomsday articles were published calling for Oil to break $20/bbl even. At that time OPEC (Saudi Arabia) did not...

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Brave New World

Posted on June 8, 2017

What a change a few months makes post the Trump hype and reflation trade shenanigans. Q1’17 has completely unwound the “reflation” thesis across various stocks, sectors, and foreign currency markets, essentially the long dollar trade. However, Equities are still strong as an asset class with the US S&P500 and Eurostoxx 50 up 8% and 9% respectively year to date. So what gives? What may seem boring on the surface has been...

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Show Me The Money

Posted on March 14, 2017

What a difference a few months makes for asset allocators and top down portfolio strategies! Last summer the world was convinced there was only one asset class to own, Bonds! In July’16, a Bond investor was paying the equivalent of 0.5% to Germany for holding their money for five years! By August 2016, around two-thirds of the broader Bond markets was in negative yielding territory. In October’16, the Italian government issued its first sale...

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