Sitemap - 2022 - MB Commodity Corner

MBCC Trading Highlights 28th December'22 - Holidays always tee up great trading opportunities as stuff diverges, what are we putting on into Jan'23?

MBCC Trading Highlights 20th December'22 - What does the BoJ yield curve announcement mean for overall risk assets? Massive surprise but inevitable!

MBCC Trading Highlights 15th December'22 - "The market may give a false sense of illusion into Quadruple Witching this Friday but what is really happening underneath the surface?"

MBCC Trading Highlights - what is the trade POST the CPI and into Fed tomorrow? (for paid subscribers only)...

MBCC Trading Highlights 12th December'22 - Long Only's ONLY care about y/y EPS! #ouch Energy...

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only...

MBCC Trading Highlights 7th December'22 - Oil equities are finally waking up, or rather, getting a reality check, cheap can ALWAYS get cheaper!

MBCC Trading Highlights 5th December'22 - Is China really opening? What is going on in the Yuan?

MBCC view post Non Farm Payrolls - what to do here? (for paid subscribers only)...

MBCC Trading Highlights 1st December'22 - What leads to cross asset arb, where are the opportunities, why does it work and when?

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only...

MBCC Trading Highlights 30th November'22 - Now we enter winter, Commodities are about seasons as well as macro!

MBCC TH #13 - Now it's all about the Fed FOMC in December...

MBCC Trading Highlights 28th November'22 - Oil is down another 3% close to $80 while China is going down in flames, proverbially speaking...

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only...

MBCC Trading Highlights 23rd November'22 - China knew about Russian Oil cap for months, do you not think they have stocked up in advance?

MBCC Trading Highlights 22nd November'22 - What is the technical set up of the market and why is it being controlled by derivatives?

MBCC TH #12 - Moving to deflation from inflation...

MBCC Trading Highlights 21st November'22 - markets continue to fall, but Oil and Commodities fall more - why? Where can it go?

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only...

MBCC Trading Highlights 18th November'22 - Commodities trade on reality, Equities trade on hope - which one would you trust? Well if you don't know...follow the Alpha!

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only...

MBCC Trading Highlights 17th November'22 - Markets are moving from inflation to deflation.....what does that mean?

MBCC Trading Highlights 16th November'22 - when everything moves in the same direction so fast, it is a BLOW OUT, not fundamental...

MBCC talks with Gulf Intelligence about what is happening with the Oil price and why Equities/Bonds are doing what they are...

MBCC Trading Highlights 15th November'22 - It is all about the Dollar now...

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only...

MBCC TH #11: It is crunch time...

MBCC Trading Highlights 14th November'22 - Time to reassess, it's crunch time...what to do here?

MBCC Trading Highlights 11th November'22 - market is as much about positioning unwinds as it is about fundamentals and liquidity, how much more could we go? What is the next trigger?

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only...post the CPI...

MBCC Trading Highlights 10th November'22 - Why did Oil fall $7/bbl? Does CPI really matter today for the Fed?

MBCC Trading Highlights 9th November'22 - Where can the consensus be wrong? All eyes on CPI tomorrow...

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only...

MBCC Trading Highlights 8th November'22 - October and November play important roles in risk management, what does this mean for the market?

MBCC TH #10: Has the Fed really pivoted?

MBCC Trading Highlights 7th November'22 - market torn b/w a Fed pivot or not, what is really happening here?

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only...

MBCC Trading Highlights 4th November'22 - today it's the Chinese "reopening" rumours again, ignore the noise, focus on NFP and CPI...

MBCC Trading Highlights 3rd November'22 - It is ALL about the terminal rate, why did Equities sell off?

MBCC Portfolio Update - What does Fed statement really mean, what is the trade here?(New idea for paid subscribers only)

MBCC Trading Highlights 1st November'22 - Are central banks really stepping off the rate hike pedal here?

Commodities are all a timing game, look at EU gas - gas to fuel oil switching logic works both ways!

MBCC Trading Highlights 31st October'22 - What is the terminal rate, that remains to be seen as we head into the Fed FOMC this week...

MBCC Trading Highlights 28th October'22 - everyone wants a pivot, but is the data giving the Fed the chance to do so?

MBCC Trading Highlights 26th October'22 - The Dollar is having a reversal, some covering into next week or something fishy?

MBCC Trading Highlights 25th October'22 - Look at the EU gas market, and now we discuss what can happen to the Oil market - refining margins, why are they so high and where can they go?

MBCC Trading Highlights 24th October'22 - To pivot or not to pivot - market is desperately waiting but what can really happen?

MBCC Trading Highlights 21st October'22 - Forget valuations, there is a BIGGER collapse to come...and why "tight" inventories will NOT matter for now...

MBCC Trading Highlights 20th October'22 - Are refining margins rallying because capacity is down or because demand is up? Watch out for Bonds/FX they are collapsing.

MBCC Trading Highlights 19th October'22 - market is trying to break higher hoping for a Fed "pivot", will they get it? And Oil continues to fall lower, where can it go?

Oil chart has broken to the downside, against all the calls out there....

MBCC Trading Highlights 18th October'22 - why is the market pinned at 3600? What is the pain trade here into November?

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only

MBCC Trading Highlights 17th October'22 - will the market hold or break the 200 weekly mov avg level? China's plenum implications for Commodities in general?

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only

MBCC Trading Highlights 14th October'22 - bear markets are known to suck in the bulls and trap the bears, but now what?

MBCC - old note from 3rd August - why we said the market would "keep" falling...

MBCC Trading Highlights 13th October'22 - all eyes on the CPI, market desperately looking for clues for a pivot, will it happen?

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only

MBCC Trading Highlights 11th October'22 - Bond markets are broken!

MBCC TH #9: Is the market set up for a Q4 rally or is there more room to fall?

MBCC Trading Highlights 10th October'22 - Market is right back down to 3650, now what?

MBCC portfolio update - for paid subscribers only

MBCC Trading Highlights 6th October'22 - Equities higher, Bonds lower, Dollar unsure? What is the next move here...

MBCC Portfolio Update - As we head into the key OPEC+ decision, what does a "cut" mean for physical markets? What is the Dollar doing here and what does it mean for broader risk assets?

MBCC Trading Highlights 4th October'22 - Why are we rallying and how far can it go? Is Silver a buy here or just one massive short squeeze? Oil - is it opec or more $ here?

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only

MBCC Trading Highlights 3rd October'22 - OPEC is worried even though Oil is > 2020 levels, why? Is the Fed about to pivot?

MBCC Trading Highlights 29th September'22 - and the PBOC intervenes, is this enough or can we go lower from here?

MBCC Trading Highlights 28th September - BOE bites the dust, pivots, who is next and is this really bullish or bearish risk?

MBCC Trading Highlights 27th September'22 - Is this it, has the market bottomed?

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only.

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only

MBCC Trading Highlights 26th September - Could Oil fall any lower? How much more pain in Equities and the Dollar?

MBCC TH #8: And the pain continues...

MBCC Trading Highlights 23rd September'22 - Bond markets are broken!

MBCC Trading Highlights 22nd September'22 - The Fed ruins the party for the bulls!

MBCC Trading Highlights 21st September- All eyes on the Fed tonight...

MBCC Trading Highlights 19th September - it's Fed FOMC week, will they give in or not?

MBCC Trading Highlights 15th September'22 - Oil demand is just NOT there! Market "pinned" till tomorrow, but then?

MBCC Trading Highlights 14th September - US CPI dashed all hopes of a dovish tilt...what's next?

MBCC portfolio update...

MBCC Trading Highlights 13th September'22 - What is happening in Silver? Is the Nasdaq cheap here?

MBCC Portfolio Update - for paid subscribers only

MBCC TH #7: Fed's dilemma - to raise or not to raise?

MBCC Trading Highlights 12th September'22 - what is driving this squeeze and how far can it go?

MBCC Trading Highlights 9th September'22 - Beware of the Negative Gamma into next week!

MBCC Trading Highlights 8th September'22 - Watch the Yen and the Yuan!

MBCC Portfolio Update 7th September'22...

MBCC Trading Highlights 7th September'22 - Cross Asset discrepancies.

MBCC TH #6: It is all about the Dollar!

MBCC Trading Highlights - 6th September'22 - FX markets in distress, keep an eye on the Yuan! The Fed is not done yet...

MBCC TH #5: Despite being "cheap", why is the market and Oil still falling?

MBCC Trading Highlights 31st August'22 - Markets, Oil, Copper all breaking down.

MBCC Portfolio Update...

MBCC TH #4: What is the Fed thinking here and what does it mean for markets?

MBCC Trading Highlights 25th August'22 - Will Oil break down here or rally back to highs? Will the Nasdaq make new highs? What are our proprietary cross asset models signalling for Q4?

MBCC TH #3: What does the September Quadruple Witching Expiration mean for the S&P 500?

MBCC TH #2: Where does Oil go from here - the big two way pull between Macro and Micro, so who will win?

MBCC Trading Highlights 23rd August'22

Market is as much about positioning as it is about fundamentals...so where to next in September?

MBCC TH #1: Where do the markets go now as we head into September?

Coming soon